The sky isn't falling The sky isn't falling Early-stage companies saw the most severe valuation declines in 2023 as both median and average pre-money valuations for those categories fell by double digits. However, median valuation for all stages ended 2023 just slightly below the 2021 median, indicating long-term stability.
Leadspace Illustration

Results were mixed for pre-seed through Series A companies.

Despite a rebound for large cap public tech stocks in 2023, valuations remain below long-term averages in terms of enterprise value to revenue basis for tech indices, which continues to impact private late-stage valuations.

2023 vs. 2022 Average Valuations
+18%
Pre-seed
-10%
Seed
-26%
Early
-6%
Late
2023 vs. 2022 Median Valuations
-5%
Pre-seed
+9%
Seed
-17%
Early
-18%
Late

In the absence of an active exit market, many venture-backed companies will need to raise capital in 2024. A challenging financing environment means they are more likely to accept less favorable terms. In fact, in the third quarter of 2023, 17% of all venture financings were “down rounds,” the highest figure in a decade according to Pitchbook.

In 2024, we expect to see additional bridge rounds, tranched financings, and down rounds, further affecting valuations. We also expect to see more portfolio triage as venture managers examine their existing positions against the backdrop of these additional incremental investments.

Overall, 2023 was a continuation of what we saw in 2022 and while, for many companies, “down is the new flat,” the highest quality companies – albeit a lower number of them – are finding traction and even seeing upticks in their valuations.

"The thing that I know will remain true is that incredible founders will continue to build at the edge of what's possible, regardless of what the market says at any given point."

Seed Crush Survey Respondent